Currently viewing the tag: "forex analysis"
Every day we spin the wheel. Pick one of the PIIGS and pick one of the four following problems: banks, bonds, politics, ratings.
One day it’s Greece and politics, the next it’s Italy and bonds. The news is never positive; just bad or good enough to spark a short squeeze.
I’m generally a trend-following trader [...]
The news out of Greece is good. A coalition has been struck that will pass the EU-mandated reforms in order to receive the upcoming aid tranche. Papandreou will step down, a new PM will be named Monday and an election will be held after the aid is dispersed.
Barring any surprises (and they can’t be [...]
Greek Prime Minister Papandreou had a Halloween surprise for markets on Monday as he announced a referendum on the EU bailout deal. The move was completely unexpected and could throw Greece (and Europe) into chaos. The euro dropped almost 100 pips as the news hit.
The Greek public will decide whether or not to accept the [...]
So far USD/JPY has shot to 79.48 from a low of 75.57 and the pair looks like it will push higher after the Ministry of Finance chomps through another set of sell orders around 79.20. Officials may take aim at 80.00 but based on the comments out of Japan, a Swiss-like peg doesn’t sound likely.
What also [...]
I have to score the ho-hum day in markets on Friday as a win for the bulls. I expected a further pullback in risk sentiment, especially with the soft Italian bond auction. My feeling is that this means EUR/USD is on its way to 1.44 and USD/CAD down to 0.9800.
I live blogged all day [...]
Entered EUR/USD short at 1.3766 on 19 Oct. Stopped out 24 Oct at 1.3936. Result: -170 pips.
Entered with a stop at 1.3936 and a target of 1.32. Greatest open loss: 170 pips Greatest open gain: 110 pips.
It’s frustrating to be right on the macro front but get the levels/timing wrong. That’s [...]
I have been on the sidelines and lacking conviction for the past two weeks.
First, I was expecting the US economy to fall harder and faster. More importantly, the Merkozy ‘promise to deliver a plan’ on Oct. 10 generated a 500 pip rally that left me scratching my
The headline risk surrounding this Sunday’s [...]
Entered AUD/CAD long at 1.0248 on 12 Aug added on Aug 15 at 1.0295. Exited 23 Aug (+147 pips) at 1.0395 and 30 Aug (+164 pips) at 1.0459. Result: +311 pips.
Entered with a stop at 1.01 and a target of 1.05. Greatest open loss: 80 pips Greatest open gain: [...]
Today marks one month since The New Crisis started. It’s a good time to reflect and flesh out some thoughts on markets and where we’re heading. The lone trading position we’re holding is a long AUD/CAD position. He sold half of it for a 150 pip profit earlier in the week and we’re holding the [...]
Our belief is that the two-day selloff in gold is the result of a harsh correction compounded by a leaked CME report. Gold is down $170 from Tuesday’s record high of $1912/oz.
We think this may provide another excellent buying opportunity for gold but in order for us to buy here we want to [...]
Live EUR/USD Chart
