Thursday’s Bank of Canada rate decision will be rightly overshadowed by Greece and the pending US and Canadian jobs reports on Friday but once the short-term smoke clears, the central bank will have outlined the case for a long-term CAD rally.
Economists and the market see no chance of a rate hike on Thursday, leaving [...]
I was quoted in a Reuters story on CAD today. Nothing groundbreaking but it’s nice to be in the mainstream media.
Canadian dollar at more than 1-week low as risk rally fades
“It’s a very straightforward trade, as we’re seeing the Canadian dollar slump as risk appetite fades,” said Adam Button, currency analyst [...]
I have been recommending USD/CAD shorts at ForexLive for the past month based on the break of the wedge from September to mid-January.
The trade worked wonderfully at first, quickly falling from the 1.0150 entry point to below parity.Last Monday, Feb 20, the decline looked like the start of another leg down but the pair [...]
It’s not often that a trade comes along with so much upside and so little risk. Buying EUR/CHF at 1.2050 is one of those trades.
I didn’t think we would see 1.2050 in EUR/CHF this year and I’m sure it won’t last. My money says 1.25 is coming with 1.30 not far behind.
The SNB [...]
I’m torn about USD/CAD.
For months, I’ve been looking to buy any weakness in the pair but the daily chart has broken a ‘wedge’ pattern to the downside.
My base case if for a rally to 1.12 around mid-year but I won’t fight the technicals.
It’s time to take a step back [...]
This is a bit outside of what I normally do but I read today that the Tokyo Stock Exchange is near a deal to set up a stock market in Myanmar.
It reminded me of this quote from Jim Rogers:
“If you can find ways to invest in Myanmar you will be very, very [...]
I was out of the country and out of touch with markets last week and it has been hard to catch up with the European soap opera after missing a few episodes.
First here’s a quick guide to what happened in the EU.
The UK press has been helpful. Here’s a good article in [...]
Someone out there sure likes these things.
The bad news has been almost relentless since August but the euro continues to hang in there. At 1.33, EUR/USD iss down almost 10 cents in that time but that’s not bad considering the existential crisis pounding away at the bulls. Moreover, EUR/USD is holding above the 2010 [...]
Every day we spin the wheel. Pick one of the PIIGS and pick one of the four following problems: banks, bonds, politics, ratings.
One day it’s Greece and politics, the next it’s Italy and bonds. The news is never positive; just bad or good enough to spark a short squeeze.
I’m generally a trend-following trader [...]
The news out of Greece is good. A coalition has been struck that will pass the EU-mandated reforms in order to receive the upcoming aid tranche. Papandreou will step down, a new PM will be named Monday and an election will be held after the aid is dispersed.
Barring any surprises (and they can’t be [...]
Live EUR/USD Chart
